Cold, but no snow for us this weekend

By  | 

By: Charles Roop | WCTV Eyewitness News
December 8, 2017

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) — After nearly a week of above average temperatures over our area, a shock to the system may be taking place for many. The shock will be even greater this weekend. And with all of the talk about snow in the Deep South, is there a chance we could see winter here? This meteorologist will answer that in the bone-chilling, rain-soaked, hot-chocolate-needed edition of your weekend forecast.

Friday morning’s weather pattern is made up of a stalled front over Central Florida, with a low over the Gulf of Mexico. The low is swinging back some colder temps at the surface, keeping things a bit on the chilly side. Aloft, a trough over the central U.S. is digging south and eastward, helping to provide enough dynamics (lift and mass evacuation in the upper levels) to fire up some rain. The colder air that’s filtering in the Southeast is dumping rain in our area, while leaving places like Birmingham, Ala., Houston and Jackson, Miss. in snow.

The cold weather and rain will continue Friday night as the low in the Gulf moves to the northeast overnight. Rain chances will be near 100 percent with the low near 40.

The surface low - along with an attached cold front - will stay to our south, but the rain will leave our area sometime Saturday morning. Skies will begin to clear later in the day, with the winds becoming more northwesterly. It will still be a cold day with a high in the lower 50s.

Skies are expected to be clear Saturday night with the low dipping to near 30 for many locations. Statistical guidance is hinting at some wind overnight, so that could throw a small wrench into exactly how cold it gets. The wind allows for mixing near the surface, which helps keep the temperatures a little bit warmer.

It will be cold again Sunday, but at least the skies will be sunny. The high will be in the mid 50s, but we’ll get to near 30 once again for Sunday night. The winds will likely be calmer as the pressure gradient decreases, so it is possible to get lows in the upper 20s in normally colder locations.

But some may wonder why we are not expecting snow in our area Friday night into Saturday morning? There are a few factors that are keeping the wintery precip away from us. The area aloft where the snow usually grows will be drying out Saturday morning. Meanwhile, temperatures at the surface and the lower levels are expected to be above freezing. This setup keeps the snow farther to our north. If you want to see snow, you may have to do some driving to Alabama or Central Georgia.

Stay warm this weekend, my friends.