[UPDATE] Tracking Tropical Storm Emily

By: Pinpoint Weather Team / AP Email
By: Pinpoint Weather Team / AP Email

[UPDATE Sunday 8-7 6:35pm]

Emily fizzles out again! Only a remnant low remains spinning in the Atlantic. It is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The National Hurricane Center issued their final advisory at 5:00 this evening.

The remnants of Emily were located 295 miles SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina at 5:00 pm on 8/7. The location was at 31.1N latitude and 74.1W longitude.

The system will continue to produce disorganized showers and storms. It is moving to the North East at 17 mph with sustained winds of 30 mph.

[UPDATE Saturday 8-6 5:25pm]

Emily comes back to life! Tropical Depression Emily is bringing heavy rainfall to the NE Bahamas. She is not expected to make landfall in the US! She will eventually turn NE into the Atlantic.

Emily may strengthen slightly over the next several hours. The system will then encounter moderate wind shear and this will keep it from strengthening further. Emily is not expected to reach tropical storm status in the near future. If the system does become a tropical storm, it will be as it is moving away from the U.S. and into the Atlantic.

[UPDATE Friday 8-5 9:30am]

The remnants of tropical storm Emily are producing disorganized thunderstorms over Eastern Cuba and the South Eastern Bahamas. It is still only a Low pressure system.

There is a chance that it could redevelop into a tropical system this weekend. Conditions become more favorable for this on Saturday. Even so, this system is not expected to have a direct impact on our weather in Northern Florida or Southern Georgia.

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[UPDATE Thursday 8-4 6pm]

Emily lost the battle with Hispaniola's mountains, and is no longer a tropical storm, or even a depression.

The National Hurricane Center will no longer issue public advisories on it as a tropical system unless regeneration occurs. Is that possible? Technically yes, but it is VERY unlikely.

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[UPDATE] 8-4 9am -

For the latest on Tropical Storm Emily, check out the video above.

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[UPDATE] 8-3 Wednesday Afternoon

As of Wednesday afternoon, Tropical Storm Emily is still struggling in the Caribbean, but could still threaten southeast Florida this weekend. Top sustained winds are still at 50 mph. Check with the WCTV Hurricane Headquarters page for more details.

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[UPDATE] 8-3 - Noon -

For the latest updates on Tropical Storm Emily, check out the video above.

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[UPDATE] 8-3 - PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti (AP) --

Tropical Storm Emily brushed past Puerto Rico and headed Wednesday toward the Dominican Republic and Haiti, where more than 630,000 people are still without shelter after last year's earthquake.

A "steady shield of rain" should reach the island of Hispaniola shared by the Dominican Republic and Haiti around noon Wednesday and the rainfall should worsen by late afternoon, said John Dlugoenski, senior meteorologist with Accuweather.com.

"The biggest threat to lives is probably the flooding," Dlugoenski said.

Civil defense officials and the military in the Dominican Republic have already begun moving people out of high-risk zones ahead of the storm. Haitian authorities urged people to conserve food and safeguard their belongings.

In Haiti's capital of Port-au-Prince, Jislaine Jean-Julien, a 37-year-old street merchant displaced by the January 2010 earthquake, said she was praying the storm would pass her flimsy tent without knocking it over.

"For now, God is the only savior for me," Jean-Julien said at the edge of a crowded encampment facing the quake-destroyed National Palace. "I would go some place else if I could but I have no place else to go."

Haitian emergency authorities set aside a fleet of 22 large white buses in the event they needed to evacuate people from flooded areas. Emergency workers would then bus the people to dozens of schools, churches and other buildings that will serve as shelters.

"We're working day and night to be able to respond quickly in case we have any disasters," said Marie Alta Jean-Baptiste, director of Haiti's Civil Protection Agency.

Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami said up to 10 inches (25 centimeters) of rain could fall in some parts of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in areas of mountainoust terrain.

Emergency workers, both Haitian and foreign, also sent out text messages to cell phone users, alerting them to the approaching storm and to take precautions such as staying with friends or relatives if that were an option.

Such advisories are not uncommon but few in Haiti have the means to heed them because of the crushing poverty.

"This is not the first time we've heard these messages," said Alexis Boucher, a 29-year-old man who lives in Place Boyer, a public square that became a camp after the earthquake. "We receive these messages and yet we still don't have anywhere to go."

A slow-moving storm that triggered mudslides and floods in Haiti killed at least 28 people in June.

The United Nations peacekeeping force in Haiti notified its 11,500 troops to be on standby in case they need to respond, said Sylvie Van Den Wildenberg, a spokeswoman for the U.N. peacekeeping mission. The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies also, put emergency teams on standby, which have access to relief supplies already in place for up to 125,000 people in seaside towns throughout the country.

In the Dominican Republic's southern tourist districts, workers at hotels and restaurants gathered up umbrellas, tables, chairs, and anything else that might be blown away.

Capt. Frank Castillo, dock master of the Marina Casa de Campo in the southeastern tourist city of La Romana, and his crew helped boat owners secure their vessels in slips or pull them ashore.

In Puerto Rico, there were no reports of major damage or injuries and no immediate demand for the nearly 400 schools that were converted into emergency shelters around the island.

Gov. Luis Fortuno had declared a state of emergency and most government offices were closed. Ahead of the storm, people cleared water and other emergency supplies from store shelves and tourists fled the small Puerto Rican islands of Culebra and Vieques.

But most of the island saw no more than sporadic gusts and showers.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said the storm was heading west at 14 mph (22 kph) Wednesday morning, and it was expected to veer later toward the northwest. The storm was about 145 miles (230 kilometers) south-southeast of Santo Domingo, capital of the Dominican Republic. It had maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85 kph).

A tropical storm warning was in effect for Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the southeast Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
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[UPDATE] 8-2 6pm -

The 5pm advisory for Tropical Storm Emily still shows Florida is in that "cone of uncertainty" with regard to its track - but just barely. Doesn't look like any impact for our region. Stay with WCTV for updates
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[UPDATE] 8-2 11:50am -

The 11am advisory for Tropical Storm Emily shows Florida is in that cone. Stay with WCTV for update.

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UPDATE: Monday, August 1st at 8:30 pm

It's official! We have another named storm in the Atlantic! Tropical Storm Emily formed in the Eastern Caribbean near the island of Dominica.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for Dominica, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, Guadeloupe, Desirade, Les Saintes, and Marie Galante. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the next 36 hours.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Dominican Republic, St. Kitts, Nevis, Monsterrat, and Antigua, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Haiti. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the next 48 hours.

Emily is located in the Eastern Caribbean over the windward Islands at latitude 15.2 North and longitude 62 West. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph. Minimum central pressure is at 1006 mb. She is moving West at 17 mph, and expected to turn WNW with a slight decrease in forward speed. Emily will approach Hispaniola Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Some models still show it coming to Florida. It's still too early to tell so stay tuned for updates!

Gradual strengthening is expected over the next 2 days. Emily is expected to dump 2-4 inches of rain in the Windward Islands, and 4-6 inches of rain in Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic. Isolated areas could receive 10 inches of accumulated rain. Mudslides and flash floods are possible. Storm surge will raise water levels up to 2 feet.

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We could see a named Atlantic storm form later tonight or tomorrow! What is now a tropical disturbance in the Eastern Caribbean could become Tropical Storm Emily. This will happen if the low pressure center becomes more organized and develops a closed circulation. Conditions are favorable for development because the system is entering warmer waters and an environment with light wind shear.

Some tropical forecast models bring the system over Cuba and then Florida. Others predict the track to go over Puerto Rico and then well off the East coast of the U.S. At this time, some models are forecasting the system to eventually reach hurricane strength. The details of the forecast will be continuously updated as new information comes in from the hurricane hunter aircraft reconnaissance planes.

Scattered showers and storm activity is covering portions of the Eastern Caribbean. Regardless of development, heavy rains and strong winds can be expected in portions of the Northern windward and Leeward islands over the next couple of days.

The National Hurricane Center is giving this an 80% chance of tropical development within the next 48 hours. Another hurricane hunter aircraft will investigate the disturbance this evening. If the storm does intensify, tropical storm warnings will be issued for portions of the Northern Windward islands and the Leeward Islands on very short notice.


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