It doesn't have to be a hurricane to be a big deal. It doesn't even have to be a tropical storm or depression. Tropical moisture will come our way from the south, for sure, on Thursday.
Today's activity is more like what we had Tuesday... scattered showers popping up earlier than normal, and sticking around into the night. Rain chances at 60% for today - most of us can see something today. High temps will be held in check, likely not reaching 90.
Tonight, the clouds linger and the showers fizzle. Lows in the 70s. Thursday starts with clouds increasing early and rain spreading north from the disturbance.
The track of the disturbance and the organization of it is still unclear. The best-case-scenario for our area (just a round of rain, and maybe pulling in some drier air for the weekend) is a track more closely associated with our FUTUREcast. That takes the disturbance more over the Florida Peninsula and up towards the Georgia Coast. The word-case-scenario would be something that tracks the disturbance more to the west near the Florida Panhandle. That would bring the most rain and the longest duration of activity - likely into Friday.
At this point, I still lean toward our FUTUREcast's solution and the computer model that has been locked onto this disturbance with consistency since last week - so I expect a more Eastward path - though maybe NOT AS FAR EAST. I think we're going to see a decent round of rain for a good portion of Thursday, and then clearing by Friday...
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