Monday Evening Tropical Weather Outlook

By: National Hurricane Center
By: National Hurricane Center

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST MON NOV 7 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BERMUDA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS OVER AN AREA
EXTENDING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
CENTER. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW
HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND THIS SYSTEM STILL
HAS SOME FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR THIS LOW TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD TONIGHT AND MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD ON TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS GALE AREA
CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NOAA NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1...AND UNDER WMO HEADER
FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN


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