Low risk of damaging wind gusts Wednesday

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) - A low-end potential of severe weather is in place for Wednesday as another cold front is forecast to move through the Southeast.

While the bulk of the severe weather will be off to our northwest the next 36 hrs, an isolated strong/severe storm could make it to our part of the country by Wed morning and afternoon. Any severe storms tomorrow could have a strong damaging wind gust or possibly a tornado. pic.twitter.com/VjhfANzzhA
— NWS Tallahassee (@NWSTallahassee) November 29, 2022

The Storm Prediction Center placed most of the Big Bend and South Georgia under a level 1 (out of 5) severe weather threat of damaging wind gusts for Wednesday.

A storm system is forecast to become stronger over the Midwest Tuesday into Tuesday night. This low and accompanying cold front will bring a moderate (4 out of 5) threat of severe weather over portions of the Deep South on Tuesday - including the threat of tornadoes, damaging winds and hail.

Though atmospheric moisture will still be plentiful over the Big Bend and South Georgia, especially for this time of year, the better forcing will remain away from the area. Also, there is potential that cloud coverage could place a cap on any daytime heating and limit convective energy to create stronger thunderstorms. The cloud coverage would be one variable to watch.

Rain chances will be very low today and tonight, but will increase starting Wednesday morning from west to east. We have an update on the timing of the showers and storms on Wednesday. #flwx #gawx pic.twitter.com/vQgmdz55lq
— Charles Roop (@CharlesRoopWCTV) November 29, 2022

The timing of arrival will likely be in the morning hours Wednesday starting in Southwest Georgia around and after dawn based on guidance model runs. The anticipated squall line will likely continue a southeasterly track and move through the western-half of the Big Bend much of South Georgia through the rest of the morning and through noon. The line will then advance through the rest of South Georgia and the eastern Big Bend (e.g. Valdosta, Live Oak, Perry, etc.) around the lunch hour through the mid afternoon.

Other than the severe threat, a good chance of showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast. Rain odds will be at 70% for the viewing area. Expect the weather to improve and cool later Wednesday night into Thursday. Temperatures will warm up slightly during the weekend, but it will still be pleasant.

The threat of severe weather will be very low, but not zero. The First Alert Weather Team will continue to provide updates.

This story was updated to include new information Tuesday afternoon.