Rain, thunderstorms likely this weekend

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By: Charles Roop | WCTV Eyewitness News
March 9, 2018

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) — The weather has been downright awesome this last couple of days. It was freezing (literally) on Thursday and Friday mornings as the lows reached to at or below freezing in a few spots. But, change in the weather is on its way this weekend.

Currently, high pressure is centered over Alabama and Georgia, providing tranquil conditions and a sunny sky. We’ll see the highs for today (Friday) in the upper 60s. Winds will be switching to more out of the east as the high moves eastward. The wind will then become more southerly by the time we get into Saturday.

The southerly flow sets up on Saturday, we’ll see the moisture beginning to increase slowly throughout the day. The high temperatures will be a little warmer, getting into the lower to mid 70s with a partly cloudy sky.

Now the forecast gets a little tricky starting Saturday night. Up until Friday morning’s run, the American GFS has been persistent on bringing rain and a chance for some storms Saturday night into Sunday morning. Other models such as the European, the short-range NAM, and even the Furturecast (RPM) are bringing in rain and thunderstorms as early as Sunday afternoon to late evening. The 8 am ET GFS run has caught up with the other models with respect to timing. The rain is about 48 hours from this post; therefore, there is still time for the guidance to get things fine-tuned. Rain chances will increase from near 30 percent Saturday to 70 percent Sunday.

The Storm Prediction Center has also placed most of our area under a marginal risk for severe weather on Sunday. The dynamics Sunday morning hint at the possibility of severe weather, but that setup wanes during the day as the rain and thunderstorms move in.

The front is expected to pass either Sunday night or early Monday morning, once again ushering drier and cooler weather to start the new work week.

The Pinpoint Weather Team will continue to monitor trends throughout the weekend. Stay tuned to our broadcasts and social media outlets for the latest forecasts.