According to our computer model, the Jacksonville Jaguars will beat the Kansas City Chiefs when they meet at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday, September 17 (at 1:00 PM ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

The Chiefs had the 16th-ranked defense last year (21.7 points allowed per game), and they were more effective on offense, ranking best with 29.2 points per game. The Jaguars averaged 357.4 yards per game on offense last season, which ranked them 10th in the NFL. On defense, they ranked 24th, surrendering 353.3 yards per game.

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Jaguars vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Jaguars (+3.5) Under (50.5) Jaguars 27, Chiefs 20

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 40.8% chance of a victory for the Jaguars.
  • Jacksonville compiled an 8-9-0 record against the spread last year.
  • The Jaguars covered the spread four times last year (4-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Jacksonville games went over the point total eight out of 17 times last year.
  • Games involving the Jaguars last year averaged 44 points per game, a 6.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • The Chiefs have a 63.6% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • Kansas City covered seven times in 17 games with a spread last season.
  • The Chiefs covered the spread five times last season (5-9 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Last season, eight Kansas City games hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 50.5 points, 0.8 more than the average point total for Chiefs games a year ago.

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Jaguars vs. Chiefs 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Kansas City 29.2 21.7 25.1 19.4 32.8 23.8
Jacksonville 23.8 20.6 22.4 19.3 25 21.8

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