New hurricane seasonal outlooks released

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By: Charles Roop | WCTV Pinpoint Weather
April 4, 2019

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) -- Colorado State has released its predictions for the upcoming hurricane season, just a day after AccuWeather released theirs.

Dr. Phil Klotzbach and his team called for "slightly below-normal activity" for the season, according to the forecast released on Thursday. The forecast calls for 13 named storms, with five of those hurricanes. For hurricanes category three or greater on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, the team is calling for a count of two.

Klotzbach noted a few factors that will influence the number of tropical cyclones this season. The big one is El Niño, which is projected to remain in place through the summer. El Niño can suppress the formation of tropical systems by adding excessive wind shear.

Another element is the higher atmospheric pressure in the central Atlantic Ocean. A stronger Azores High can increase the surface wind speeds, and increase upwelling. The mixing and upwelling can cool the water temperatures at the ocean surface, decreasing the amount of warm water that hurricanes use for fuel.

Though one factor that would allow for more tropical systems is the warmer water temperatures observed between the middle of the Atlantic and the western coast of Africa.

On Wednesday, AccuWeather, a private weather company, released a forecast of 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes, with two to four hurricanes in the major category.


By: Charles Roop | WCTV Pinpoint Weather
April 3, 2019

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) – AccuWeather has released its predictions for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season, one of the first of the year.

Meteorologist Charles Roop talks about some of the things forecasters look at to help determine what a season could bring.